Marketing Communication
Gold and silver exited January with a dramatic surge. What is traditionally considered a stabilising hedge recently resembled a nervous casino. This heightened volatility is now visibly spilling over into equities, bonds and currencies. Precious metals have become victims of their own success: driven by momentum and leveraged positioning, the former “safe havens” have turned into volatile speculative assets. This fundamental decoupling calls for caution. The overheating observed in the precious metals sector raises questions for other market segments — particularly considering the ambitious valuations of AI-related market leaders. In this environment, disciplined risk management remains our most important priority.
At the same time, concentration risk has increased noticeably. An ever-smaller group of market-leading stocks now accounts for a historically high share of overall index performance (Fig. 1) — with corresponding implications for diversification and risk profiles. Index leadership has fundamentally shifted, moving away from energy and financials towards dominant global technology companies.
Markets nevertheless advanced. In equities, China (+5.0%) and Japan (+4.9%) led the rally, followed by Europe (+3.1%) and the United States (+1.2%). Fixed income markets were also supportive: European government and corporate bonds gained 0.7% and 0.8% respectively, while US securities closed flat to slightly positive (Treasuries 0.0%, corporates +0.2%; all figures in local currency).
Fig. 1: The five largest constituents of the S&P 500 account for 29.5% of the index weight* — almost a threefold increase compared with 2010.
| Total weight of the five largest constituents in the S&P 500 (%) | |
| 2010 | 10.6 |
| 2011 | 11.9 |
| 2012 | 11.9 |
| 2013 | 9.9 |
| 2014 | 10.3 |
| 2015 | 11.3 |
| 2016 | 10.6 |
| 2017 | 13.3 |
| 2018 | 14.8 |
| 2019 | 16.8 |
| 2020 | 21.8 |
| 2021 | 23.1 |
| 2022 | 18.4 |
| 2023 | 23.4 |
| 2024 | 26.7 |
| 2025 | 29.5 |
Source: Bloomberg, S&P
Our active investment approach has proven itself over various time periods in recent years (Fig. 2) and has achieved top positions within its fund peer group (Morningstar moderate allocation Global, Fig. 3) – both in the overall comparison and in direct competition with passive, balanced multi-asset ETFs (60/40).
| Fig. 2 Mo-end return as of Jan 31, 2026 (%) |
|
|---|---|
| 1-mo | +2.3 |
| YTD | +2.3 |
| 1-yr | +5.3 |
| 2-yrs | +19.3 |
| 3-yrs p.a. | +9.4 |
| 2024 | +12.6 |
| 2023 | +11.7 |
| Since launch (10/18/2021) | +15.2 |
| Rolling 12-mo | |
| On the day of launch (upfront fee) | 0.0 |
| Jan 31, 2024 - Jan 31, 2025 | +5.3 |
| Jan 31, 2023 - Jan 31, 2024 | +12.3 |
| Jan 31, 2022 - Jan 31, 2023 | +8.9 |
| Source: CleverSoft, as of Jan 31, 2026. Due to the longest history and largest volume, we show the data for share class D here (other share classes). The information is historical data and does not represent an indicator of future developments. The management and custodian bank fees as well as all other costs charged to the fund are included in the calculation. |
|
| Fig. 3 Percentile rank* for Morningstar fund peer group** |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | 2-yrs | 3-yrs | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
| 18 % | 25 % | 13 % | 46 % | 14 % | 12 % |
| 1st quintile | 1st quartile | 1st quintile | 2nd quartile | 1st quintile | 1st quintile |
| Source: Morningstar, as of Jan 31, 2026. Due to longest history and largest volume, we are showing data for share class D. * For example, a percentile ranking of 20% means that 80% of the funds in the peer group underperformed and 20% performed equal to or better than the BlackPoint Evolution Fund D. ** Morningstar EAA Fund EUR Moderate Allocation - Global |
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The equity portfolio posted gains. Key contributors were the pharmaceutical sector (Novo Nordisk, Johnson & Johnson) and communication services (Meta, Alphabet, Baidu). ASML, Eon, Alibaba and Ducommun also delivered positive contributions, while financials such as Upstart, Visa, EQT and Allianz detracted. The fixed income segment benefited from declining yields on government bonds (France, Romania, Mexico) and corporate bonds (SBB, Organon). Only Air Baltic recorded idiosyncratic losses.
During January, we increased positions in Ducommun, Howmet, Eon, Nebius, Nestlé, Dutch Bros, Nvidia and Siemens. Exposure was reduced in Allianz, Broadcom, Mercedes, Novo Nordisk, Unilever and Visa, while Roper was fully exited. In fixed income, Euroclear and French government bonds were exchanged for Reach Subsea and UK government bonds. In addition, allocations to gold, catastrophe bonds and commodities were increased, while exposure to carbon certificates was slightly reduced.
Robust economic growth continues to serve as an important counterbalance to valuation concerns. We remain constructive on equities, while maintaining a disciplined, cautious approach with targeted diversification.
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